If hed run the Hillary campaign in 2016, no Trump as President. dominiccummings.substack.com. The Visual Display of Quantitative Information, Beautiful Evidence, and Seeing With Fresh Eyes, by Edward Tufte are classics about the presentation of information by the worlds leading expert. Non-fiction books on politics fail to give you this crucial sense. *Chaplin City Lights, The Gold Rush, Modern Times, Great Dictator. His boss and predecessor was Kelly Johnson who wrote this short list of principles. Cummings has also instructed the advisers to read High Output Management by Andrew Grove, the former chief executive of computer-chip manufacturer Intel, who "warns that success breeds. The Cummings effect: politics, trust, and behaviours during the COVID It is, therefore, practically unknown in SW1. Calculus, Spivak (2008 edition). In all of these struggles I tried to follow Boyds advice such as, connect yourself to sources of power, disconnect your opponent and in all of them, as the opponents OODA crumbled I observed what Boyd said would happen: it starts to feel like your opponent is working for you, the more they try, the worse it gets (e.g when Cameron called the press conference to denounce lies about the fact that Turkey was in the process of joining the EU!). Classic text, university level. which egg to use for IVF. Working Backwards, by Amazon alumni. Number, Dantzig (1930, updated 1953; new edition 2007). Opinion | The 'Political Anarchist' Behind Britain's Chaos - The New I'll post final LKY notes tomorrow. Doing the Impossible, Slotkin. Notes on Colin Grays Strategy and Defence Planning, following on from military innovation, The Kill Chain, nuclear (sorry for slow progress on Payne). Much (mis)quoted, rarely read. Am told that the Loebs translated by Shackleton Bailey is the best translation. Please post questions below. Classic text, university level. Mindstorms, Seymour Papert. , very relevant to discussions on things like drones and AI in Ukraine. Genres Politics I googled recently after getting no reply to an email and learned to my dismay that he died of cancer last year. Rohls multivolume biography on Wilhelm II is brilliant and, like Pflanze, a whole political education in itself. (Some confusion about his ideas is a result of his sister who, a Nazi supporter and edited things he wrote to distort his actual views. Ill do a separate list on science funding. Brexit and VL in No10 (original official advice was to go with the useless bureaucratic EU scheme. The point that Producers didnt want to make a Renoir picture even if it was a success is really important. Short stories, Flannery OConnor my wife gave me these, theyre little known and absolutely brilliant, the closest to Dostoyevsky of anything in the 20th Century Ive read. , Gowers. On the 50th anniversary Munger reflected on why his partnership with Buffett had been so successful and Buffetts personality. In the meantime Ill post another tomorrow. He was a mathematician who got interested in how markets work. Wycombe Abbey Suicide: Caitlyn Scott-Lee Found Dead (Steinbergs recent book has interesting stuff but has many errors of fact/date and interpretation.) Something on how ideas change over different time scales. The Power Broker, Robert Caro. A history of ARPA-IPTO and Xerox PARC: how the internet and PC revolution was created. What are the books Dominic Cummings told aides to read? It also corrects a lot of modern books that have reverted to the World War I was a terrible accident / railway timetables idea in fact crucial nodes in the Prussian deep state network were trying to force war in summer 1914 and to manipulate Wilhelm II into going along with their plans. Dominic Cummings, a special adviser to UK education minister Michael Gove, discusses technological advances (quantum computing, 3D printing, energetics etc. Complexity Economics, Beinhocker. Almost anything good you read on strategy and conflict is based on ideas you see here. , Kahneman. In the search I came across Boyd. Interesting on the psychology of selling and marketing. I know I should like Dickens, the Russians loved Dickens, but I just couldnt enjoy it, probably a school effect, and I should retry. A big problem for UK political discussion is people focus obsessively on the immediate interest of the London media rather than trying to think about, . , Robin Lane Fox. are classics about the presentation of information by the worlds leading expert. The United Kingdom parliamentary second jobs controversy of 2021 began with Owen Paterson and his lobbying and breach of Commons advocacy rules, which led to his resignation on 5 November, and this was followed by extensive press coverage and debate about the second jobs of other MPs, particularly Geoffrey Cox.Cox, a former Attorney General, registered a total income of 970,000 in 2020, for . , Polya. I searched for explanations. (Ive recently read some of the media commentary about 2019 that I ignored at the time and its amazing how many hacks thought I was trying to use vNs game theory. April 22, 2023 156 Comments. 406. A good introduction to P=NP?. And power was given unto them over the fourth part of the earth, to kill with sword, and with hunger, and with death, and with the beasts of the earth. Dominic Cummings Dec 13, 2022 40 94 #4 Regime Change, America 2024 Trump's disastrous error. and I suspect it would be one of the most useful things to force politicians and senior officials to read. E.g his few pages on, which few economists seem to know about! I did pinch ideas from how Bismarck dealt with the Prussian constitutional crisis.). He replied to Yudkowskys AGI ruin here as did Paul Christiano here. Youll understand more of how SW1 really works than from all PM memoirs of the last 30 years combined (PMs never face why they dont control much of Whitehall even after theyve gone). A classic non-specialist introduction to reasoning. Rationality, Vernon Smith. If hed run the Hillary campaign in 2016, no Trump as President. Hard question (relevant to AGI safety debates! For example: The number of people having any connection with the project must be restricted in an almost vicious manner. , you see a world historical genius skip between vast scales of time and space, connecting tiny things happening this moment to the biggest things affecting decades or centuries to come. Follow Julia Galef. NB. The story of Turing, von Neumann and the computer. Work for Dominic Cummings at your peril, but his take on the state's Intoxicating, insidery and infuriating: everything I learned about There are fields like professional mathematics and equity investing where institutions mean the best people are recognised over time. The Substack blog he started in June last year is not cheap - 10 a month for an erratic and irregular output via email - but it's worth it. Also you cant understand our world unless you have a sense of Nietzsches profound influence on 20th Century artists, thinkers, and politics. 26. For us its often seen as high level political philosophy but it was bashed out by Hamilton et al as part of a brutal political struggle including many dirty tricks on both sides. I started reading him around 1999 when I first got involved in politics. Please, . He understood politics and government in a way I think almost nobody in 20th Century politics did and influenced it more than almost any elected leader. While some lessons are specific to time/place (e.g how the Senate works in 1950) the most important lessons from all such books are quite abstract and common and I assume this will be true of these classics. New blog: Insiders & graduates across the West swallowed nonsense on 'AI stole it for Brexit/Trump' after 2016, in 2024 it will be used, maybe by Russia & China as well as both campaigns, so we shd expect an even more chaotic election. Book accompanying an OU course. Kahneman bravely admitted hed ignored some of his own lessons in believing studies he shouldnt have believed. He believed that these clues were to be found partly in the evidence of the heavens and in the constitution of elements(and that is what gives the false suggestion of his being an experimental natural philosopher), but also partly in certain papers and traditions handed down by the brethren in an unbroken chain back to the original cryptic revelation in Babylonia. Dominic Cummings Offers a Sorry-Not-Sorry for U.K. Lockdown Breach The top adviser to Prime Minister Boris Johnson caused a furor after it was learned he had driven 260 miles to his parents'. The best biography in English (probably any language) is, . A history of the amazing Bell Labs which famously won more Nobels than most EU countries. Reckoning With Risk, Gigerenzer. Keynes essay on Newton is great: , the core document of the rationalist movement. You can download that version (2.0) here. Popular intro to network theory. If youre in Georgia, visit her house in Milledgeville. As the craziness of 2024 approaches his ideas will be much more influential in some circles than you will realise from the media. About Robert Mosess grip on NYC. Who is Dominic Cummings? True of Bismarck (only appointed because of meltdown in royal circles), true of the likes of SpaceX (an explosion away from bankruptcy) and Steve Jobs (tried to sell early and was turned down), true of Brexit We just dont see all the stories of very able people trying really hard who get taken out by bad luck early in the story. Predictions on AGI can be Straussian. . With Bismarck you can follow the twists and turns of a true (and monstrous) genius in great detail and learn an extraordinary amount about how politics, government, war and diplomacy truly work. (Ive recently read some of the media commentary about 2019 that I ignored at the time and its amazing how many hacks thought I was trying to use vNs game theory. ), , Waldrop. , John Allen Paulos (1988). Reading List - Dominic Cummings substack If you read his blogs and trusted him on covid over the entire CDC/FDA/WHO bureaucracies, youd have come out far ahead. In the search I came across Boyd. Insider account of how the legendary Skunk Works worked by a guy who ran it. Its crucial to remember both aspects of this genius-monster without whom probably no World War I, Lenin, Hitler etc summed up by Salisburys two comments: One misses the extraordinary penetration of the old man and he will do things of which it would be absurd to suspect any other statesman in Europe. Its often found in terrorist safe houses when raided. The peacetime bureaucracy knew what it valued. He left his Downing Street role following an internal power struggle, amid claims the PM's then-fiancee had blocked the promotion of one of his allies, Lee Cain, after months of internal warfare . Yudkowskys Sequences, the core document of the rationalist movement. We can now test fertilised eggs for common risk factors such as mental disorders and heart attacks and. I should have read this, havent, will. And a very recent post. de Tocqueville. The smartest person Einstein said he knew wrote one of the first things on existential risk. My blog with other books HERE. His point about the fundamental importance of error-correction in political institutions was the fundamental reason I think Brexit is the right idea and the EU is doomed to fail in important ways. the word strategy is a) used differently in military books, b) used differently over time, c) constantly misused in politics.). By Reagans pollster. Ditto for the Johnson volumes (Ive not read) when Caro publishes the last. Fascinating. So a philosopher simultaneously prepared the ground for Hitler, deeply influenced todays Left, and personally hated Bismarck and anti-semites. The Man from the Future, Bhattacharya. As Strauss said, Nietzsche despised anti-semites and the sort of characters who controlled the Nazi party but it also cannot be ignored that in attacking ideas and clearing the ground for new values, he also prepared the ground for communism and fascism: Nietzsche did not mean it in the way people like Hitler and Mussolini meant it, but through his negations, he prepares it. And notice that despite their vast success Buffett & Munger have had almost zero success in persuading anybody to run their companies the way they run Berkshire! Two adjacent questions: 1) what signals of memes/news predict that X is likely to emerge from the noise and become one of the few stories/memes thats significant e.g the process of the Wall falling has started with small events which are detectable but almost nobody notices or realises what a big deal they will be in a few weeks, how soon can we, X is Y% likely to be a big story, with what confidence? Based on a course Susskind taught in San Francisco to give people a basic physics education. Dyson, Hawking) is wrong. Remember that approxmitately no MPs and few in Congress are aware of these facts or ideas yet they speculate confidently about Putins thinking on nuclear weapons. Groves (fired), Bob Taylor (fired), George Mueller (not funded to push on to Mars after the moon), Renoir The list goes on and on. Never At Rest, Westfall. While No 10 was trying to get a grip on the pandemic, news came in . Ditto for the Johnson volumes (Ive not read) when Caro publishes the last. Now It Can Be Told, General Groves. , Murray Gell Mann. Buy the book, support Zvi. This will also show you why high performance is so hard it is totally hostile to normal bureaucracies dominated by large numbers of middle managers. Anybody who goes to Hollywood can see right away what the setup is Hollywood is Hollywood, theres nothing you can say about it that isnt true, good or bad. I advised spads and officials to read this in 2019 and ignore the media. , Marcus du Sautoy. ! Worthlin. Theres no question about this. His. We look back on history and abstract over decades or centuries, judging the ideas that held sway for a few decades and sneering at how formerly all the world was mad as Nietzsche put it. Makers of Modern Strategy, Paret et al. A classic book on calculus / analysis designed for undergraduates. If you get into it you have no right to be bitter, youre the one who sat down and joined the game People who dont succeed, people whove had long bad times like Renoir Renoir was the best director ever are people who didnt want to make the kind of pictures that producers want to make. Two of the most important documents on the computer revolution by two of the critical figures in ARPA/PARC. Just like despite ARPA-PARCs success, almost no science funding is done like that in the world (hence why I made the creation of. For the beginner, by a Fields Medallist. A classic on the 1972 campaign. The Dominic Cummings guide to management | Financial Times As Strauss said, Nietzsche despised anti-semites and the sort of characters who controlled the Nazi party but it also cannot be ignored that in attacking ideas and clearing the ground for new values, he also prepared the ground for communism and fascism: Nietzsche did not mean it in the way people like Hitler and Mussolini meant it, but through his negations, he prepares it. He was a mathematician who got interested in how markets work. Cited by many professional mathematicians as an inspiration. Review of the disintegration of the Tories in the context of Brexit, SW1 vs, perspectives on risks of Brexit/Remain, and, and save the trolley to Get Brexit Done despite our reservations. (Planning to see some classics Ive missed: Intolerance; Tokyo Story; Bicycle Thieves.). by Rumelt. , Leonard Susskind (2013). Why Superforecasting is top of Dominic Cummings' reading list Perhaps hoping his colleagues will be able to see into the future, the prime minister's chief adviser has advocated a book on how to. E.g Around 1848 nationalism was an elite opinion held by educated liberals who thought of liberalism and nationalism as naturally, and morally, connected, while uneducated peasants were, nationalistic.
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