Only time will tell. Dr. So what are the most important things you need to know when making your picks for win, place and show? Its when a 3-year-old makes his or her final start before the Kentucky Derby that I can determine their number of strikes in the DSS. By his theory, a horse earning an 85 Beyer at Golden Gate Fields going seven furlongs and a horse earning an 85 Beyer at nine furlongs at Santa Anita basically have the same ability. 209 Art Collector (6) 4. American Pharoah must be given credit for consistency. Carpe Diem ran a 102 to win last years Blue Grass Stakes; Brodys Cause a 91 this year. Espinoza, Skinner playing waiting game for Ky. Derby The comments on the far right also can provide insight into how the horse performed that day. ( 45) Jaces Road 22. I dont think so, not with those declining Beyers and a concern that he wont be first or second a furlong from the finish. David Ingordo, agent, paid $310,000 for the 4-year-old Dialed In ridgling Peaceful Waters , who earned a 92 Beyer Speed Figure when he captured a Keeneland allowance race April 16 in his 2023. Jerardi: Pharoah needs to break his Beyer ceiling in Classic It is tough to pull off a Triple Crown championship. His highest weight that year and in his career was the 139 pounds he carried to a six-length victory in the seven-furlong Vosburgh Handicap, which was his final start. In a tremendous demonstration of weight-carrying ability that year, he never -- I repeat never -- raced with less than 130 pounds. BALTIMORE - I don't know how fast American Pharoah's Preakness score will come up on Beyer Speed Figures. Her Beyer Speed Figure was 112, but that particular Classic was decided on a synthetic surface rather than on dirt. macalester college basketball coaches. As far as I know, the horse is fine. Nerud: Then whats the bad news? Benoit: Well, there was a mistake in the weight Dr. Fager has to carry. Nerud: Is that right? Hondo In the Run for the Roses, Mr. Aitch will put four units on Exaggerator to win .. and mix in a 4-horse $1 triple box with Exaggerator, Creator, Nyquist and Oscar Nominated. Photo: Keeneland Photo/Photos by ZInto Mischief colt Talladega consigned as Hip 76 at theKeeneland April Selected Horses of Racing Age Sale, Hes just a lovely horse, said Tom Clark, who signed the ticket. noting the San Felipe and Santa Anita Derby ranked among the fastest Road to the Kentucky Derby qualifiers from a Beyer and Brisnet speed figure perspective. And we found one.. Andrew Beyer Preakness Picks 2022 | Expert Preakness Predictions 2022 Medina Spirit finished first in the 2021 Kentucky Derby. With Justifys breeding rights sold for a record $75 Million, I wouldnt count on it. Because of the neck margin, both Tapit Trice and Verifying earned a 99 Beyer Speed Figure, according to Daily Racing Form. The handicapping, sports odds information contained on this website is for entertainment purposes only. In two of that years Kentucky Derby preps, Destin stopped the timer for the 1 1/16 miles of the Tampa Bay Derby in 1:42.82. Into Mischief colt Talladega consigned as Hip 76 at theKeeneland April Selected Horses of Racing Age Sale, Horse of the Year Havre de Grace Dies at 16, Confidence Game's Kentucky Derby Entry a 'Celebration', Wild On Ice Euthanized Following Derby Work, Godolphin Returns to Classic Stage With Two in KY Oaks, Commissioner Dan Goes for $500K to Top Keeneland Sale, Rocket Can Blasts Out Final Derby Drill for Mott, Reincarnate to be Starlight's 14th KY Derby Starter, Plus News, Analysis, Entries, Results & Replays, Wolfs Reflect on KY Derby Wins From Justify, Authentic, Three Things You Might Not Know About: Angel Of Empire, Catching Up With Old Friends: Silver Charm, Brad Cox Discusses Oaks Contender Wet Paint, Macadamia Holds off Quattroelle in Wilshire Stakes, Opinion: Gambling White Paper Lacks Real Action. (A) denotes race on all-weather surface. Commissioner colt Commissioner Dan consigned as Hip 120 at the Keeneland April Selected Horses of Racing Age Sale. Fager set and tied records from seven furlongs to a mile and a quarter, slashing the world mile mark to 1:32 1/5 en route, Hatton wrote. This colt has been second to Cave Rock in the grade 1 American Pharoah and third to Forte and Cave Rock in the Grade 1 Breeders' Cup Juvenile. This years entries yet to earn a 95: Gun Runner, Suddenbreakingnews, Whitmore, Oscar Nominated, Shagaf, Toms Ready, Majesto, Trojan Nation, Mo Tom and, yes, the Romans-trained Brodys Cause. On the 50th anniversary of his Triple Crown, why Secretariat still resonates today. For KAS Stables, Lanz was the sales leading buyer with three purchases for a total of $930,000. 1. Gamely, the only filly in the field and a future Hall of Famer herself, finished second. It wasnt just Pharoah. The single-session sale, which grossed $6.7 million, recorded across-the-board increases over 2022. His fourth place last time out in the Florida Derby was a head . I thought the price was fair, Wade said. (150) Tapit Trice 5. Rising Market came in third, while sprint star Kissin George ended up 10th. After the entries came out, the racing office re-checked the weights, Benoit said. 6 1/2F. The 120 Beyer Speed Figure for his BC Classic win actually matched American Pharoah's BC Classic figure. A lot of the races (this year) were run on off tracks, so that might take away from it a little bit, said Bob Baffert, who trained American Pharoah and Dortmund last year and has Mor Spirit this year. With grass racing they get a break in the winter, so they come back fresh and renewed. Handal, who will be saddling his first Kentucky Oaks contestant, said the work went according to plan. The preakness stakes is an american thoroughbred horse race held on the third saturday in may each year at pimlico race course in baltimore, maryland. the wagering regulations in your jurisdiction as they vary from state to state, province to province and Knowing how to read a horse racing form is a useful tool when placing bets on a race, like the 149th Kentucky Derby, whether you're a first-time bettor or a veteran. They are Reincarnate and Kingsbarns. Hunter Valley Farm, agent, consigned Hibernacle, who is entered to race in the $200,000 Kentucky Juvenile Stakes May 4 at Churchill Downs. David Ingordo, agent, paid $310,000 for the 4-year-old Dialed In ridglingPeaceful Waters, who earned a 92 Beyer Speed Figure when he captured a Keeneland allowance race April 16 in his 2023 debut. has a filly ever won the kentucky derby American Pharoah ran a 105 to win last years Arkansas Derby; Creator a 96 this year. He proved a punctual 2-1 favorite in the 1 1/16-mile contest, edging 7-2 Arabian Lion by a half-length. Commissioner Dan Goes for $500K to Top Keeneland Sale ; of $75,000 once or $30,000 twice since December 25, 1966, 9 lbs. When they did that, they found a mistake had been made. Just a big, classy horse, a lovely horse.. What we learned: Flightline is best Classic winner ever He was appropriately awarded Horse of the Year honors, which is the ultimate accolade, and excelled in more departments and more divisional titles than any horse since the Daily Racing Form and The Morning Telegraph poll was instituted in 1936. In addition to his Horse of the Year crown, Dr. Fager in 1968 was voted best handicap horse, best grass horse and best sprinter. But when the Kentucky Derby returned to its traditional date of the first Saturday in May in 2021 and 2022, the Derby Strikes System again was viable. He has a lot of potential.. Consigned by Highgate Sales, agent, he is out of Unicorn Girl, a winning daughter of A. P. Five Hundred. But Medina Spirit was disqualified due to testing positive for traces of betamethasone, a medication that is legal to use but not on race day. Odds Shark does not target an audience under the age of 18. Trainer Ray Handal will saddle Merrylegs Farm's homebred Listentoyourheart, who ran a field-best 100 Beyer Speed Figure in a last-out seven-furlong state-bred allowance event on April 7 at the Big A. Trainer, breeder and co-owner Michelle Nevin's seasoned veteran My Boy Tate will vie for a seventh stakes victory. HORSE. DR. FAGER AND THE 1968 CALIFORNIAN The Grade II Californian Stakes will be run this Saturday (April 22) at Santa Anita. Using this information to contravene any law or statute is prohibited. He then declined further to only a 93 BSF in his nose defeat when second in the Blue Grass Stakes. (Exceptions: Ferdinand in 1986, Alysheba in 1987, Funny Cide in 2003, Giacomo in 2005 and Rich Strike in 2022 are the only exceptions going back to the introduction of U.S. graded stakes races in 1973; Alysheba in 1987 did finish first in the Blue Grass, only to be disqualified and placed third.) The BRIS figures are mostly automated, while Beyer Speed Figures rely on human input and judgment calls. It just depends on which ones you look at, Romans said. This gives an indication how good the horse was on that day. Is betting him to win at such a short price a good idea? I wondered, Has any Kentucky Derby winner during the Beyer Speed Figure era had a declining pattern in his final three starts prior to the Run for the Roses, a la Forte? The Beyer Speed Figures were first published in Daily Racing Forms Kentucky Derby past performances in 1992. Some of these horses are a little lightly raced and theyre improving. But the stewards disqualified Maximum Security and placed him 17th for committing a foul when he veered out sharply nearing the five-sixteenths marker to cause interference to War of Will, Bodexpress and Long Range Toddy. Video Poker Guide: Play the Best Online Video Poker Games, 2023 Kentucky Derby Odds: Forte Favored To Win Run For The Roses, 2022 Kentucky Derby Picks: Forte Favored To Take Run For The Roses, 2023 Kentucky Derby Sleepers: Looking for Live Longshots, Kentucky Derby Contenders: Forte Favored, But Watch Out For Derma Sotogake. ELiTE, agent, was the sales leading consignor with sales of $2,612,000 for 18 horses. He became the first and still only American racehorse to be voted four titles in a single season. 5 on my Kentucky Derby Top 10 last week, I wrote for Xpressbet.com that unlike fellow [Todd] Pletcher trainees Kingsbarns and Tapit Trice, Fortes Beyers are going into the wrong direction. I pointed out that after Forte registered a 100 Beyer in the Breeders Cup Juvenile, he ran a 98 in the Fountain of Youth, then slid further down to a 95 in the Florida Derby. 111 Last Samurai 9. This website assumes no responsibility for the actions by and makes no 8. The Triple Crown winner notched a career-high 120 Beyer Speed Figure in his final race while also setting a Keeneland track record time of 2:00.07 for the rarely used 1 1/4-mile distance.. The field of 20 at this time is comprised of the the 19 leading point earners, plus Continuars invitation through the Japan Road to the Kentucky Derby. This sale is really evolving, and there is a lot of energy and enthusiasm surrounding it. it is a grade i race run over a distance of 9.5 furlongs ( 1. Download Today's Edition All information provided by this Skinner 8. 2. She literally nailed the first eighth in 12 and three [seconds] and picked it up from there. The Triple Crown winner notched a career-high 120 Beyer Speed Figure in his final race while also setting a Keeneland track record time of 2:00.07 for the rarely used 1 1/4-mile distance. His 82 percent win rate of top-20 earners sits behind only Zenyatta (95 percent), Invasor (92 percent) and Smarty Jones (89 percent). Since the figures began being published in 1991, seven Kentucky Derby winners had the best Beyer among all Derby entrants in their last-outs, i.e. Horse racing expert Andrew Beyer picks his favorite horses and best bets for Preakness 2022. (In either of his or her last two starts before the Kentucky Derby, the horse was first or second with a furlong to go.) Kentucky Derby 2015: Dortmund Leads Field of Contenders If gambling is a problem for you or someone you care about, help is available 24 hours a day. This points out horses who have competed against tough competition prior to March 31 rather than at the last minute in April, enabling the horse to be properly battle-tested. As a believer and maker of my own figures for almost four decades, it . (Exceptions: Going back to 1955, the only exceptions have been Kauai King in 1966, Sea Hero in 1993, Charismatic in 1999, Giacomo in 2005 and Mine That Bird in 2009.) Verifying showed no signs of distance limitations in his losing effort. Angel of Empire 5. Gambling Problems? 4. 29 avril 2022 For his 2 3/4-length win over Medina Spirit, he earned a 112 Beyer Speed Figure, highest of the weekend, according to the Daily Racing Form leaderboard. Talladega was consigned by ELiTE, agent for WinStar Racing. Justify needs to race more. Beyer explained that rating a horses ability on just the final time of the race was not good enough, because racing surfaces can vary from day to day based on the weather, how the track is maintained and other factors. Justify | Stallions - Coolmore His speed was very deceiving because he had such a smooth stride. Dr. Fagers lone defeat in 1968 came when he packed 135 pounds and spotted five pounds to familiar foe Damascus in the 1 1/4-mile Brooklyn Handicap. ; older 127 lbs. THE GAMENESS CATEGORY. You just have to be the fastest horse in the race on Saturday. Perfect work, Handal said. Figures that take ground loss into account will like the race even better since Scylla was parked four to five paths wide around the turn. His 120 was the highest number recorded since Quality Road earned a 121 in 2011. Did Secretariat change the sport of horse racing? I dont think it matters for Duke, but the biggest thing that will probably help him is if he gets pace. ; of $70,000 once since July 25, 1967 or $50,000 twice since December 25, 1966, 6 lbs. When Dr. Fager put together one of the greatest campaigns by a Thoroughbred in American racing history in 1968, one of his victories came in the Californian. They are listed below: Beyer Horse (Finish, Race) 101 Two Phil's (1st, Jeff Ruby) 100 Practical Move (1st, Santa Anita Derby) 100 Practical Move (1st, San Felipe) 100 Mandarin Hero (2nd, Santa Anita Derby) There were no official Beyers for the UAE Derby. I dont need somebody doing a mathematical formula telling me he ran well.. DRF Sire List - Powered by Beyer Speed Figures The mile is still a bit of a question mark, Handal said. website is for entertainment purposes only. I think its the marriage of both the TACTICAL with the HISTORICAL that makes the Derby Strikes System better than any single Derby rule. A number of the categories in the Derby Strikes System are tied to a Kentucky Derby being run on the first Saturday in May. sort by # sire name Stud Fee $ 90+. In fact, thanks to his proficiency with speed figures and top-tier handicapping, he landed one of just eight spots on Beyer's figure-making team in 2017, a position he holds to this day.. "As a 2-year-old in training he did cost $2.3 million, so he. We are excited about the level of buyer participation; there were a lot of trainers on the grounds. Useful or useless, the Beyers provide one way to compare horses. (100) Derma Sotogake 8. What does this mean for those of us planning on visiting the betting window Saturday? Hell go to the Middle East to race there. According to the DSS, excluding the Kentucky Derby of 2020 when the race was run in September, 83% of the Kentucky Derby winners (40 out of 49) have had zero strikes or one strike going back to 1973. According to Bob Heberts Californian recap in The Blood-Horse magazine, Nerud thought that Dr. Fager would be carrying 124 pounds. This was what he had to say about Dr. Fager: He was a great horse, a very competitive horse. THE EIGHTH POLE CATEGORY. Justify has four Grade 1 wins to date. This sale is a great initiative and it is well supported.. strictly prohibited. The site is not associated with nor is it endorsed by any professional or collegiate league, association or team. Please confirm the wagering regulations in your jurisdiction as they vary from state to state, province to province and country to country. By this I mean, a Triple Crown championship plus wins in the Breeders Cup Classic and the Pegasus World Cup the latter two races having North Americas largest purses. Which have good closing speed or seem to fall off in the final furlongs? Justifys main competition has really come from two colts: Bolt dOro and Good Magic. The three-year-old won in a deep G2 UAE Derby in the Middle East to land a starting spot, and his late speed shown that day could make for a fascinating contender. "It would entail a lengthy search to find a better representative of the Thoroughbred breed Justify exudes power Damascus won by 2 1/2 lengths. David Lanigan, agent for Heider Family Racing, paid $310,000 for Hibernacle, a 2-year-old filly by Hootenanny, who on April 12 won her debut by 7 1/2 lengths at Keeneland. 342 Forte (29) 2. He also wanted a rating system that could compare horses at different distances and at all racetracks. By running strongly at the same point in the Kentucky Derby, a horse would be in a prime position to win the roses. Michael is a pharmacist by profession, author of Masten Gregory: Totally Fearless as well as a horse racing blog that can be found at: www.thederbyhandicapper.com. Beyer said that if his figures were around in 1973, Secretariat would have earned a 139 Beyer for his Belmont Stakes victory. Clearly, the fastest horse of the weekend was Knicks Go, winner of the Breeders' Cup Classic. The fact that only one of the last 31 Kentucky Derby winners went into the race with a declining Beyer Speed Figure pattern similar to Fortes is, to me, a big red flag for Forte. 174 West Will Power 5. The strikes for each Kentucky Derby winner going back to 1973 are listed below: 2022 Rich Strike (2 strikes) Categories 2 and 3) 2021 Mandaloun (1 strike) Category 4* 2020 race run in September 2019 Country House (2 strikes) Categories 2 and 3** 2018 Justify (2 strikes) Categories 1 and 7 2017 Always Dreaming (1 strike) Category 1 2016 Nyquist (0 strikes) 2015 American Pharoah (0 strikes) 2014 California Chrome (0 strikes) 2013 Orb (0 strikes) 2012 Ill Have Another (0 strikes) 2011 Animal Kingdom (0 strikes) 2010 Super Saver (1 strike) Category 4 2009 Mine That Bird (4 strikes) Categories 1, 4, 5 and 9 2008 Big Brown (0 strikes) 2007 Street Sense (0 strikes) 2006 Barbaro (0 strikes) 2005 Giacomo (2 strikes) Categories 2 and 5 2004 Smarty Jones (0 strikes) 2003 Funny Cide (2 strikes) Categories 2 and 8 2002 War Emblem (0 strikes) 2001 Monarchos (0 strikes) 2000 Fusaichi Pegasus (1 strike) Category 6 1999 Charismatic (1 strike) Category 5 1998 Real Quiet (0 strikes) 1997 Silver Charm (1 strike) Category 4 1996 Grindstone (0 strikes) 1995 Thunder Gulch (0 strikes) 1994 Go for Gin (0 strikes) 1993 Sea Hero (2 strikes) Categories 3 and 5 1992 Lil E. Tee (0 strikes) 1991 Strike the Gold (0 strikes) 1990 Unbridled (1 strike) Category 3 1989 Sunday Silence (0 strikes) 1988 Winning Colors (0 strikes) 1987 Alysheba (1 strike) Category 2 1986 Ferdinand (2 strikes) Categories 2 and 4 1985 Spend a Buck (0 strikes) 1984 Swale (0 strikes) 1983 Sunnys Halo (1 strike) Category 1 1982 Gato Del Sol (1 strike) Category 3 1981 Genuine Risk (1 strike) Category 1 1980 Pleasant Colony (0 strikes) 1979 Spectacular Bid (0 strikes) 1978 Affirmed (0 strikes) 1977 Seattle Slew (0 strikes) 1976 Bold Forbes (0 strikes) 1975 Foolish Pleasure (0 strikes) 1974 Cannonade (2 strikes) Categories 3 and 4 1973 Secretariat (0 strikes) *Medina Spirit (0 strikes) finished first but was disqualified from purse money **Maximum Security (0 strikes) finished first but was disqualified and placed 17th MY DERBY STRIKES SYSTEMS CATEGORIES What are the eight categories in my Derby Strikes System? This points out horses who were running strongly at the eighth pole, usually in races at 1 1/16 or 1 1/8 miles. With the help of some conditional formatting, the basic gist is that green (80th percentile) is good and red (20th percentile) is bad or in this case faster and slower, respectively.
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